OPEC likely to maintain modest output boosting

OPEC likely to maintain modest output boosting

/ Oil & Gas / Tuesday, 04 January 2022 07:22

Major oil-producing countries are expected to maintain their course of modestly boosting output as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant has not hit demand heavily so far.

The OPEC+ grouping, including top producers Saudi Arabia and Russia, has withstood pressure to more widely open the taps though high energy prices are fuelling a surge in inflation across the world.

The 13 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their 10 allies slashed output in 2020 as a result of the pandemic. Last year they decided to step it up again gradually as prices recovered, while reviewing the situation every month.

The latest meeting between the 23 countries will take place via video conference preceded by technical discussions between all of them.

Analysts expect the group to step up production by 400,000 barrels per day in February, as they have done in past months.

"Since the last OPEC+ meeting (in early December), oil prices have recovered considerably, suggesting that also market participants seem to be less concerned about the Omicron variant weighing on oil demand," UBS energy strategist Giovanni Staunovo said.

'Sense of stability'

OPEC secretary general Mohammed Barkindo emphasised the need to "remain highly nimble and adaptable to the constantly changing situation".

He said the group's "flexible approach has helped provide an added sense of stability, reassurance and continuity to the market and investors".

OPEC has named Kuwaiti oil executive Haitham al-Ghais to follow Barkindo once his second term as secretary general expires in July.

Al-Ghais, who was Kuwait's OPEC governor from 2017 to June 2021, will take up his three-year post on August 1.

He currently serves as a deputy managing director of the Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) and has decades of experience in the industry.

While OPEC+ countries have been gradually increasing their output again since last year, analysts note some countries, such as Nigeria and Angola, have been struggling to lift production.

"Important here is that Russia did not lift production in December which could be a sign that they are getting closer to their capacity," SEB chief commodities analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said.

Another heavyweight, Iran, has seen its exports limited by US sanctions.

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